Forecast the Role of GCC Financial Stress on Oil Market and GCC Financial Markets Using Convolutional Neural Networks
نویسندگان
چکیده
This study aims to predict GCC financial stress on oil market, and Stock bond markets while considering the effect of 2008 crisis, 2014 drop price 2019 novel COVID-19 outbreak. For this purpose, we use a new approach for predicting stress, based One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN). article introduces parameters optimization method, which provides best 1D-CNN improve prediction performance indices. The results suggest that indexes help forecasting performance. It implies model shows better predictive in out-of-sample findings.Regarding influence hedging between Brent, markets, outcomes emphasize role stock market risks positive case. Another interesting result is estimates stock–bond with have higher variability negative (positive) stress. findings highlight information captured by accurately volatility offering valuable opening investors monitor using traded assets.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Asia-pacific Financial Markets
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1573-6946', '1387-2834']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-022-09387-3